Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.0% | 59.0% | +2.0 | ✗ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -1 (88-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 32 | 8-17 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 30 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 27 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 31 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 6-7 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier | 28 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jović | 23 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kel'el Ware | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan da Silva * | 38 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Trevelin Queen * | 36 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 32 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs * | 32 | 10-21 | 2-11 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Anthony Black | 13 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jett Howard | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter