Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.3% | 13.7% | -10.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -6 (114-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 37 | 15-22 | 4-5 | 11-11 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 45 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 35 | 8-22 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 34 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 16 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 16 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ajay Mitchell | 15 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 39 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 35 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 32 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 3-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 31 | 7-14 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 28 | 9-17 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 19 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 15 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter