Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.8% | 39.2% | -2.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +10 (110-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 39 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 37 | 10-19 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 36 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 27 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 24 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 38 | 11-21 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Kevin Durant * | 37 | 9-26 | 0-5 | 9-9 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 30 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 29 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ryan Dunn * | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 30 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Monté Morris | 17 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 16 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Oso Ighodaro | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter