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2024-12-26

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 21.8% 78.2% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% - βœ—
Margin 26.2% 73.8% +5.7 βœ— (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% - βœ—
Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 34.3% 65.7% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 34.1% 65.9% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 35.1% 64.9% - βœ—

Actual: Golden State Warriors -2 (113-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rui Hachimura * 39 6-12 5-7 1-1 4 1 0 1 18 - -
LeBron James * 36 12-22 2-4 5-5 4 10 2 1 31 - -
Austin Reaves * 36 8-20 4-10 6-6 10 10 1 0 26 - -
Max Christie * 34 5-13 2-8 4-4 4 2 0 0 16 - -
Anthony Davis * 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Gabe Vincent 29 2-7 1-6 0-0 3 3 0 0 5 - -
Dalton Knecht 25 5-9 1-5 2-2 7 2 0 1 13 - -
Cam Reddish 22 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 4 - -
Christian Koloko 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 35 14-24 8-15 2-2 1 6 0 0 38 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 35 8-19 3-7 2-2 12 3 0 1 21 - -
Draymond Green * 34 1-6 1-5 0-0 10 6 0 4 3 - -
Dennis SchrΓΆder * 28 3-10 3-6 2-2 2 5 1 0 11 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 26 5-7 0-0 1-3 9 4 0 2 11 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 27 4-10 0-4 6-8 6 0 1 0 14 - -
Brandin Podziemski 24 2-5 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Buddy Hield 17 2-6 1-5 0-0 0 0 0 1 5 - -
Gary Payton II 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Kevon Looney 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter