Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | β |
| Margin | 67.7% | 32.3% | -4.1 | β (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | β |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -6 (99-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gobert * | 39 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Anthony Edwards * | 39 | 11-24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 34 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Julius Randle * | 34 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 8-10 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 24 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 15 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Josh Minott | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 40 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 37 | 14-27 | 5-14 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 39 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 28 | 4-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 16 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 24 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 14 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter