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2024-12-24

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 73.5% 26.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 47.7% 52.3% - ✗
Margin 59.6% 40.4% -2.1 ✓ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% - ✗
Efficiency 54.5% 45.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 53.6% 46.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 53.7% 46.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 46.9% 53.1% - ✗

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -3 (114-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 35 9-25 0-5 2-2 5 10 1 0 20 - -
Tobias Harris * 29 3-10 0-3 0-0 1 4 2 2 6 - -
Jaden Ivey * 29 8-15 2-4 0-0 3 2 2 0 18 - -
Jalen Duren * 27 1-2 0-0 4-4 9 2 1 1 6 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 24 5-8 2-5 3-3 0 0 0 0 15 - -
Malik Beasley 25 8-15 5-10 0-0 5 0 2 0 21 - -
Paul Reed 20 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 5 3 2 0 - -
Simone Fontecchio 19 4-4 2-2 3-3 2 0 0 0 13 - -
Ausar Thompson 16 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 8 - -
Ronald Holland II 12 5-7 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 10 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 38 7-14 1-3 4-8 10 6 2 2 19 - -
Austin Reaves * 36 5-9 2-5 0-0 7 2 2 0 12 - -
LeBron James * 35 10-16 2-4 6-7 11 11 0 0 28 - -
Max Christie * 33 6-10 3-4 2-2 1 0 2 0 17 - -
Rui Hachimura * 28 3-8 0-2 4-4 1 1 1 0 10 - -
Gabe Vincent 18 3-5 3-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 9 - -
Cam Reddish 17 3-3 1-1 0-0 4 1 1 1 7 - -
D'Angelo Russell 15 1-5 1-4 2-2 0 5 0 0 5 - -
Dalton Knecht 15 2-4 1-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 7 - -

* = starter