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2024-12-24

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 15.1% 84.9% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% - βœ—
Margin 26.8% 73.2% +5.5 βœ— (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% - βœ—
Efficiency 42.5% 57.5% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 43.7% 56.3% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 43.7% 56.3% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 41.3% 58.7% - βœ—

Actual: Golden State Warriors -6 (105-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 38 6-11 2-7 2-2 6 12 2 0 16 - -
Bennedict Mathurin * 35 5-14 1-5 1-2 5 2 0 0 12 - -
Pascal Siakam * 34 9-18 1-4 1-1 5 1 2 0 20 - -
Myles Turner * 34 9-14 3-7 2-2 10 1 0 3 23 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 33 6-13 1-4 2-2 4 3 0 0 15 - -
T.J. McConnell 20 5-10 3-3 0-0 0 5 0 1 13 - -
Obi Toppin 18 4-6 0-1 0-0 4 1 2 0 8 - -
Ben Sheppard 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Thomas Bryant 9 0-3 0-2 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 - -
Jarace Walker 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 35 2-13 2-9 4-4 5 7 0 3 10 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 34 7-16 1-7 1-1 4 3 0 1 16 - -
Dennis SchrΓΆder * 29 3-9 1-3 2-2 0 3 1 0 9 - -
Draymond Green * 25 1-5 1-5 1-4 7 5 3 1 4 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 23 6-9 0-0 1-1 8 3 0 1 13 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 29 9-16 2-3 6-9 8 4 0 1 26 - -
Brandin Podziemski 26 2-4 1-1 0-0 6 2 3 0 5 - -
Buddy Hield 16 5-11 3-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 13 - -
Moses Moody 10 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Kevon Looney 9 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -

* = starter