Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.0 | ✓ (21.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +27 (117-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 34 | 9-17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Kevin Durant * | 31 | 8-15 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 28 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 22 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ryan Dunn | 30 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Monté Morris | 20 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Oso Ighodaro | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 6 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Bridges | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 29 | 10-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 29 | 12-17 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 24 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 22 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 23 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 18 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Spencer Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Alexander | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| PJ Hall | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter