Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | β |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | β (21.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | β |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +24 (132-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toumani Camara * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 28 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 25 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe * | 24 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 20 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Scoot Henderson | 26 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija | 22 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 5-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kris Murray | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Donovan Clingan | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Rayan Rupert | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 7 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 29 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 29 | 10-19 | 1-7 | 6-8 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 23 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 18 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 20 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 10 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jazian Gortman | 9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter