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2024-12-24

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 34.9% 65.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 46.1% 53.9% - ✗
Margin 49.9% 50.1% +0.0 ✗ (21.0 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% - ✓
Efficiency 57.6% 42.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 56.6% 43.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 56.6% 43.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 50.0% 50.0% - ✓

Actual: Chicago Bulls -21 (91-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brook Lopez * 36 7-12 3-6 4-4 2 1 0 0 21 - -
Bobby Portis * 32 7-18 2-6 3-4 13 6 0 0 19 - -
Khris Middleton * 23 9-15 3-5 0-0 5 5 1 0 21 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. * 23 1-2 1-1 1-2 5 1 0 0 4 - -
Ryan Rollins * 22 3-6 2-3 0-0 5 1 2 1 8 - -
Delon Wright 25 3-6 2-4 1-2 4 5 2 0 9 - -
AJ Green 24 3-8 1-5 3-3 2 3 0 0 10 - -
Taurean Prince 23 1-7 0-5 2-2 5 2 1 0 4 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 16 5-10 4-6 0-0 4 0 1 0 14 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Liam Robbins 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Tyler Smith 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Stanley Umude 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coby White * 34 4-11 2-6 0-0 2 3 1 0 10 - -
Zach LaVine * 33 5-13 1-6 3-3 6 3 1 0 14 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 33 2-9 0-5 1-2 4 11 2 0 5 - -
Nikola Vučević * 30 7-16 2-8 1-2 12 3 1 0 17 - -
Patrick Williams * 22 5-8 3-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 13 - -
Jalen Smith 16 6-11 1-5 1-1 7 2 0 0 14 - -
Dalen Terry 16 4-7 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 8 - -
Matas Buzelis 15 1-4 1-3 1-2 2 1 0 1 4 - -
Julian Phillips 14 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 13 0-4 0-3 2-2 3 1 2 0 2 - -
Jevon Carter 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Chris Duarte 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter