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2024-12-24

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 48.6% 51.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 27.9% 72.1% - ✓
Margin 21.3% 78.7% +7.2 ✓ (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 37.3% 62.7% - ✓
Efficiency 21.9% 78.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 22.8% 77.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 22.7% 77.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 27.0% 73.0% - ✓

Actual: New York Knicks +14 (139-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 36 10-20 0-3 4-6 3 8 1 0 24 - -
RJ Barrett * 33 7-13 1-4 8-11 6 6 0 0 23 - -
Gradey Dick * 30 5-13 2-5 4-4 5 3 2 0 16 - -
Jonathan Mogbo * 22 3-4 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 0 8 - -
Ochai Agbaji * 20 2-6 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Ja'Kobe Walter 24 4-5 0-1 8-10 1 0 0 2 16 - -
Kelly Olynyk 18 2-3 2-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 6 - -
Chris Boucher 18 5-6 4-5 2-2 3 1 3 1 16 - -
Jamison Battle 14 1-3 0-2 2-2 2 2 0 0 4 - -
Davion Mitchell 12 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 5 - -
A.J. Lawson 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Ulrich Chomche 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 40 5-10 4-8 0-0 1 4 1 0 14 - -
OG Anunoby * 33 13-15 4-6 1-3 7 4 1 0 31 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 32 11-15 1-3 8-10 10 7 1 0 31 - -
Jalen Brunson * 32 4-13 0-5 4-8 1 7 2 0 12 - -
Josh Hart * 30 3-6 1-2 4-4 3 4 0 0 11 - -
Miles McBride 25 5-8 2-4 0-1 4 5 2 0 12 - -
Precious Achiuwa 22 2-7 1-2 0-0 7 2 1 1 5 - -
Cameron Payne 15 7-10 4-7 1-1 2 0 1 0 19 - -
Jericho Sims 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Jacob Toppin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tyler Kolek 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Landry Shamet 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter