Model Predictions
| Model | Brooklyn Nets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.1% | 81.9% | +8.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +15 (110-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Johnson * | 32 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Ben Simmons * | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Noah Clowney * | 29 | 6-13 | 4-10 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Keon Johnson * | 28 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Nic Claxton * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jalen Wilson | 29 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Martin | 22 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 19 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 15 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dariq Whitehead | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Reece Beekman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Martin | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 38 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 30 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 25 | 6-11 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 24 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jović | 31 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 24 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kel'el Ware | 17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 16 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dru Smith | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keshad Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter