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2024-12-24

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 58.1% 41.9% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 58.4% 41.6% - βœ—
Margin 70.6% 29.4% -4.8 βœ— (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 54.5% 45.5% - βœ—
Efficiency 68.4% 31.6% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 70.2% 29.8% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 70.2% 29.8% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 59.8% 40.2% - βœ—

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +13 (117-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 35 6-15 2-7 5-6 13 7 0 1 19 - -
Anthony Edwards * 32 7-20 1-7 1-1 6 4 2 0 16 - -
Rudy Gobert * 28 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 - -
Mike Conley * 27 4-6 3-5 0-0 2 6 3 0 11 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 20 3-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 6 - -
Naz Reid 28 10-19 3-10 0-0 3 3 1 0 23 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 28 4-7 3-6 0-0 4 4 1 0 11 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 19 2-8 2-6 2-2 3 3 1 0 8 - -
Josh Minott 13 1-5 0-1 2-2 4 3 2 0 4 - -
Terrence Shannon Jr. 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Rob Dillingham 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Leonard Miller 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 - -
PJ Dozier 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Johnson * 35 8-14 0-3 1-1 11 7 2 0 17 - -
Dyson Daniels * 34 4-10 1-2 1-2 4 4 8 2 10 - -
Trae Young * 31 8-15 4-7 9-12 2 7 0 0 29 - -
Clint Capela * 25 2-6 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 0 4 - -
Zaccharie Risacher * 19 2-5 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 - -
De'Andre Hunter 28 5-9 3-7 6-6 4 2 0 0 19 - -
Garrison Mathews 25 7-8 7-8 4-5 2 1 2 1 25 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 21 2-4 2-4 0-0 4 2 2 3 6 - -
Vít Krejčí 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Keaton Wallace 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
David Roddy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter