Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.8% | 14.2% | -9.9 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -3 (129-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 42 | 11-20 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 41 | 9-19 | 2-9 | 7-8 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 38 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 35 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 23 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 35 | 9-14 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 19 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 43 | 7-24 | 0-6 | 3-5 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 39 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Yves Missi * | 39 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 38 | 8-21 | 4-10 | 4-6 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III * | 27 | 9-16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 33 | 9-18 | 5-13 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | - | - | |
| Brandon Boston | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter