Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.7% | 46.3% | -0.8 | ✓ (26.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -27 (95-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 30 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 29 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 28 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 24 | 7-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 18 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 22 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 21 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 19 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 17 | 5-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 13 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Johnny Furphy | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 35 | 7-19 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 31 | 8-22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk * | 31 | 6-16 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 19 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Isaac Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Colby Jones | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter