Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.1% | 25.9% | -5.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -4 (110-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 37 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 37 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 36 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 13-14 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 33 | 9-20 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 32 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 14 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Reed Sheppard | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 38 | 2-15 | 0-8 | 2-4 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 32 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick * | 31 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Ja'Kobe Walter * | 27 | 9-18 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Mogbo * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jamal Shead | 32 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 24 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 19 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jamison Battle | 16 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - |
* = starter