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2024-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 45.1% 54.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 51.8% 48.2% - ✓
Margin 59.7% 40.3% -2.2 ✓ (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% - ✓
Efficiency 63.6% 36.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 61.7% 38.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 61.7% 38.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 53.3% 46.7% - ✓

Actual: Phoenix Suns -8 (125-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 36 9-19 3-8 7-9 1 13 2 2 28 - -
Jalen Duren * 33 7-7 0-0 3-5 11 2 0 0 17 - -
Tobias Harris * 29 3-5 1-2 3-4 3 2 0 1 10 - -
Jaden Ivey * 29 7-14 4-6 2-2 8 8 1 0 20 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 28 6-10 4-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 16 - -
Malik Beasley 26 6-15 5-11 1-2 2 0 3 0 18 - -
Ausar Thompson 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 4 - -
Simone Fontecchio 14 4-7 2-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 10 - -
Ronald Holland II 13 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 4 - -
Paul Reed 13 3-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 1 6 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 38 11-20 3-6 1-2 6 5 0 0 26 - -
Kevin Durant * 38 14-26 4-9 11-11 5 6 2 0 43 - -
Royce O'Neale * 34 4-6 3-5 0-0 3 1 2 0 11 - -
Tyus Jones * 32 7-8 3-3 2-2 0 2 1 0 19 - -
Jusuf Nurkić * 25 4-7 0-0 2-2 7 6 2 0 10 - -
Mason Plumlee 21 2-3 0-1 1-2 9 4 0 0 5 - -
Grayson Allen 19 0-1 0-1 2-2 3 2 1 0 2 - -
Monté Morris 15 1-3 0-1 2-2 0 3 0 0 4 - -
Ryan Dunn 14 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 1 5 - -

* = starter