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2024-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 33.0% 67.0% -
Bradley-Terry 36.8% 63.2% -
Margin 32.3% 67.7% +4.1 (15.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 48.9% 51.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.1% 51.9% -
Log Adjusted 48.1% 51.9% -
Points Off/Def 43.8% 56.2% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +20 (114-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anfernee Simons * 32 7-22 3-11 1-1 4 6 5 0 18 - -
Jerami Grant * 30 2-12 1-6 0-0 0 2 0 1 5 - -
Shaedon Sharpe * 30 11-16 3-6 0-1 3 0 1 0 25 - -
Toumani Camara * 28 0-3 0-2 0-0 7 3 0 0 0 - -
Deandre Ayton * 28 7-11 0-2 0-0 8 2 0 0 14 - -
Deni Avdija 26 2-12 1-7 2-2 6 4 2 0 7 - -
Scoot Henderson 23 4-10 2-4 2-4 4 1 0 0 12 - -
Donovan Clingan 12 3-4 1-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 7 - -
Robert Williams III 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 - -
Rayan Rupert 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kris Murray 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Duop Reath 3 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Jabari Walker 3 1-2 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 3 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Victor Wembanyama * 29 8-16 4-8 10-11 7 3 0 10 30 - -
Chris Paul * 26 2-6 2-5 0-0 4 9 0 0 6 - -
Jeremy Sochan * 24 4-10 0-3 2-2 7 5 1 1 10 - -
Devin Vassell * 23 5-10 0-4 1-1 4 0 2 0 11 - -
Harrison Barnes * 22 3-6 2-3 1-2 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Julian Champagnie 23 3-7 1-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 7 - -
Keldon Johnson 20 5-12 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 1 11 - -
Stephon Castle 20 4-10 0-2 0-0 4 5 1 0 8 - -
Charles Bassey 18 7-9 0-0 2-2 12 0 1 0 16 - -
Tre Jones 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 7 1 1 4 - -
Blake Wesley 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Malaki Branham 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Sidy Cissoko 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter