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2024-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 25.1% 74.9% -
Bradley-Terry 48.1% 51.9% -
Margin 58.5% 41.5% -1.9 (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% -
Efficiency 63.9% 36.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.1% 34.9% -
Log Adjusted 65.1% 34.9% -
Points Off/Def 56.3% 43.7% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -16 (112-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scotty Pippen Jr. * 32 9-12 3-4 1-3 5 9 2 0 22 - -
Zach Edey * 26 5-7 0-0 0-1 6 0 1 0 10 - -
Desmond Bane * 26 7-12 4-8 5-5 5 8 4 0 23 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 25 6-17 1-5 0-0 5 1 1 1 13 - -
Jaylen Wells * 25 6-12 1-4 0-0 3 2 2 0 13 - -
Jake LaRavia 22 6-10 4-5 0-0 4 4 2 0 16 - -
Santi Aldama 20 3-9 2-7 2-2 6 4 0 0 10 - -
Brandon Clarke 18 4-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Luke Kennard 17 1-4 1-3 1-1 2 2 0 0 4 - -
John Konchar 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Marcus Smart 9 3-5 2-4 1-1 0 2 1 0 9 - -
Cam Spencer 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Johnson * 33 4-12 1-3 4-5 11 8 2 0 13 - -
Dyson Daniels * 29 6-9 3-5 0-0 3 6 6 1 15 - -
Zaccharie Risacher * 22 3-7 1-3 3-4 2 1 0 0 10 - -
Vít Krejčí * 19 2-4 1-3 2-2 0 3 1 0 7 - -
Clint Capela * 18 4-10 0-0 0-2 8 0 0 2 8 - -
De'Andre Hunter 24 9-14 1-5 7-7 2 0 0 0 26 - -
Bogdan Bogdanović 24 2-5 1-4 2-2 0 3 0 0 7 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 23 2-8 1-6 2-2 10 4 1 3 7 - -
Keaton Wallace 23 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 5 - -
David Roddy 9 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Garrison Mathews 6 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Dominick Barlow 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -

* = starter