🐻⬇️🏀

@
2024-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 25.6% 74.4% -
Bradley-Terry 29.2% 70.8% -
Margin 18.7% 81.3% +8.1 (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% -
Efficiency 21.5% 78.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.2% 74.8% -
Log Adjusted 25.2% 74.8% -
Points Off/Def 28.5% 71.5% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +23 (124-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 30 13-22 1-1 6-10 14 3 3 0 33 - -
Taurean Prince * 25 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 5 - -
Brook Lopez * 24 4-6 2-3 0-0 6 1 0 2 10 - -
AJ Green * 16 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 4 1 1 0 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. * 15 0-5 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Bobby Portis 20 4-9 1-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 9 - -
Khris Middleton 19 5-12 1-2 3-5 3 3 0 0 14 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 18 3-5 1-3 1-1 1 0 1 0 8 - -
Delon Wright 17 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 - -
Pat Connaughton 13 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 12 3-4 1-1 1-2 4 1 0 0 8 - -
Ryan Rollins 12 4-7 1-2 0-0 0 2 3 0 9 - -
Liam Robbins 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 - -
Stanley Umude 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 27 9-15 3-7 6-8 4 6 2 0 27 - -
Evan Mobley * 27 6-10 0-2 3-3 7 4 0 0 15 - -
Jarrett Allen * 24 5-6 0-0 0-0 10 0 2 0 10 - -
Darius Garland * 24 6-15 4-6 0-0 4 5 1 0 16 - -
Dean Wade * 20 5-6 4-5 1-1 5 2 2 0 15 - -
Sam Merrill 19 2-6 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 - -
Max Strus 19 3-8 3-8 0-0 0 2 0 0 9 - -
Caris LeVert 18 3-7 1-4 0-0 2 4 1 0 7 - -
Georges Niang 16 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 - -
Ty Jerome 15 5-10 3-7 0-0 4 4 2 0 13 - -
Tristan Thompson 9 0-3 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 2 - -
Jaylon Tyson 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter