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2024-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 48.7% 51.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 60.5% 39.5% - โœ—
Margin 66.6% 33.4% -3.8 โœ— (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 61.8% 38.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 63.8% 36.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 63.8% 36.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 56.4% 43.6% - โœ—

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +2 (126-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Murray * 38 9-19 3-6 3-4 3 10 3 0 24 - -
Nikola Jokiฤ‡ * 36 13-18 4-6 4-4 6 8 1 0 34 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 32 6-11 3-7 1-2 6 3 1 0 16 - -
Aaron Gordon * 30 1-6 0-3 0-2 6 3 0 0 2 - -
Christian Braun * 24 5-10 1-2 2-2 4 1 1 0 13 - -
Russell Westbrook 33 8-12 2-4 1-2 4 7 1 2 19 - -
Peyton Watson 17 2-3 0-1 4-5 2 1 0 0 8 - -
DeAndre Jordan 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 2 - -
Julian Strawther 9 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 6 - -
Hunter Tyson 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 36 4-14 3-10 2-2 5 4 1 1 13 - -
Toumani Camara * 36 5-9 2-5 2-2 8 1 3 0 14 - -
Anfernee Simons * 35 11-20 4-11 2-3 1 10 0 0 28 - -
Deandre Ayton * 34 7-14 0-0 1-2 13 4 1 4 15 - -
Shaedon Sharpe * 28 9-18 2-8 7-8 6 4 0 0 27 - -
Scoot Henderson 26 2-11 1-5 2-3 4 4 1 1 7 - -
Deni Avdija 21 6-9 3-6 4-4 2 1 0 1 19 - -
Donovan Clingan 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 - -
Robert Williams III 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter