Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.6% | 33.4% | -3.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +2 (126-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 9-19 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 21 | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 36 | 13-18 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 31 | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 32 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 24 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 33 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 21 | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 36 | 4-14 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - | |
| Toumani Camara * | 36 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 35 | 11-20 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 19 | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 34 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 23 | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe * | 28 | 9-18 | 2-8 | 7-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 19 | - | |
| Scoot Henderson | 26 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - | |
| Deni Avdija | 21 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - | |
| Donovan Clingan | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter