Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +7 (133-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 38 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 22 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 36 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 6-8 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 22 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter | 36 | 9-15 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 31 | 8-13 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanović | 30 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Vít Krejčí | 19 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Sochan * | 42 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 37 | 13-24 | 7-15 | 9-12 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 42 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 37 | 9-16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 31 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 18 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 29 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 25 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle | 20 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter