Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | +1.6 | ✗ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -9 (111-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 39 | 9-22 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 37 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 37 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 34 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 33 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 17 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 37 | 15-27 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 37 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 31 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 25 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 29 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 26 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Monté Morris | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ryan Dunn | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Oso Ighodaro | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter