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2024-12-20

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 61.0% 39.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 52.5% 47.5% - ✓
Margin 57.8% 42.2% -1.7 ✓ (21.3 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% - ✓
Efficiency 67.4% 32.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 63.5% 36.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 63.5% 36.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 54.9% 45.1% - ✓

Actual: Dallas Mavericks -23 (95-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Norman Powell * 37 10-19 4-8 5-5 7 5 3 0 29 - -
James Harden * 35 6-14 2-5 10-10 4 7 1 0 24 - -
Ivica Zubac * 33 10-13 0-0 1-2 15 5 2 0 21 - -
Kris Dunn * 25 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 6 1 0 3 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 20 3-4 2-2 0-0 1 1 1 1 8 - -
Amir Coffey 24 7-10 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 16 - -
Nicolas Batum 22 1-5 1-5 0-0 4 3 0 1 3 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 19 5-11 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 12 - -
Mo Bamba 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 7 2 0 1 2 - -
Jordan Miller 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Kai Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Spencer Dinwiddie * 37 6-16 0-6 7-9 3 7 3 1 19 - -
P.J. Washington * 34 5-13 3-4 1-2 9 0 2 1 14 - -
Klay Thompson * 29 9-17 2-9 2-2 3 3 2 0 22 - -
Dereck Lively II * 28 5-5 0-0 3-4 7 2 0 3 13 - -
Quentin Grimes * 28 3-8 1-4 4-5 5 3 1 0 11 - -
Naji Marshall 24 4-12 1-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 9 - -
Maxi Kleber 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Daniel Gafford 13 0-4 0-0 2-4 4 2 0 0 2 - -
Olivier-Maxence Prosper 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Jazian Gortman 10 2-6 0-1 1-2 1 2 0 0 5 - -
Dwight Powell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kessler Edwards 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Markieff Morris 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter