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2024-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 71.1% 28.9% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% - βœ—
Margin 48.2% 51.8% +0.4 βœ“ (50.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% - βœ“
Efficiency 47.9% 52.1% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 48.6% 51.4% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 48.6% 51.4% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 43.8% 56.2% - βœ“

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +51 (144-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 24 0-7 0-6 2-2 3 1 1 1 2 - -
Dennis SchrΓΆder * 21 2-12 0-4 1-2 2 5 0 0 5 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 20 6-11 4-5 3-3 1 0 0 0 19 - -
Draymond Green * 19 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Kevon Looney * 12 1-5 0-0 0-2 4 0 2 0 2 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 27 2-12 0-2 7-10 4 2 1 0 11 - -
Brandin Podziemski 25 9-13 2-5 1-2 4 6 2 0 21 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 19 2-3 0-0 3-3 7 2 1 1 7 - -
Buddy Hield 19 4-6 1-3 0-0 4 0 2 0 9 - -
Kyle Anderson 19 4-8 3-4 0-0 3 3 0 2 11 - -
Lindy Waters III 17 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 - -
Gui Santos 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
Gary Payton II 4 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 24 6-9 3-5 0-0 4 7 1 0 15 - -
Zach Edey * 23 3-5 1-2 1-2 8 4 0 2 8 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 19 5-10 1-2 6-6 6 5 1 1 17 - -
Jaylen Wells * 19 5-6 3-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 13 - -
Ja Morant * 17 4-9 1-5 0-0 3 3 2 2 9 - -
Brandon Clarke 24 4-6 0-0 0-0 10 2 1 2 8 - -
Santi Aldama 24 8-16 5-10 0-0 14 4 2 1 21 - -
Jake LaRavia 23 6-12 4-5 3-3 6 3 1 0 19 - -
Luke Kennard 23 5-10 5-7 0-0 2 1 1 0 15 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 16 3-8 1-3 1-4 0 5 0 0 8 - -
John Konchar 14 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 6 - -
Cam Spencer 8 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter