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2024-12-20

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 21.6% 78.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 13.0% 87.0% - ✓
Margin 6.1% 93.9% +15.0 ✓ (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 28.1% 71.9% - ✓
Efficiency 8.8% 91.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 11.1% 88.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 11.1% 88.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 18.0% 82.0% - ✓

Actual: Houston Rockets +20 (133-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 36 10-17 4-6 4-5 1 3 1 0 28 - -
CJ McCollum * 33 6-17 1-5 5-6 5 6 1 0 18 - -
Yves Missi * 32 5-8 0-0 1-2 11 1 0 0 11 - -
Herbert Jones * 31 6-14 4-8 4-4 2 2 0 0 20 - -
Dejounte Murray * 31 5-12 1-2 3-3 5 8 1 0 14 - -
Brandon Boston 21 3-9 1-2 0-0 3 3 3 0 7 - -
Javonte Green 17 2-3 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 1 4 - -
Jordan Hawkins 17 2-7 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 5 - -
Trey Jemison III 14 1-3 0-0 1-4 6 2 0 0 3 - -
Antonio Reeves 2 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 35 3-8 2-7 5-6 2 9 2 2 13 - -
Alperen Sengun * 34 10-14 0-1 3-4 9 7 0 1 23 - -
Dillon Brooks * 33 10-16 6-10 0-0 7 2 1 0 26 - -
Jalen Green * 32 13-22 4-10 4-5 6 3 1 0 34 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 31 6-11 3-6 0-0 2 5 1 0 15 - -
Amen Thompson 23 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 5 0 2 4 - -
Aaron Holiday 15 3-5 2-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 10 - -
Reed Sheppard 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 - -
Steven Adams 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 - -
Cam Whitmore 3 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Jock Landale 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter