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2024-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 22.6% 77.4% -
Bradley-Terry 24.2% 75.8% -
Margin 10.9% 89.1% +11.6 (20.6 off)
Pythagorean 36.4% 63.6% -
Efficiency 13.4% 86.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.9% 82.1% -
Log Adjusted 17.9% 82.1% -
Points Off/Def 23.7% 76.3% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -9 (108-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ayo Dosunmu * 37 7-14 3-5 0-0 8 4 2 0 17 - -
Zach LaVine * 33 11-19 6-11 8-9 6 4 0 0 36 - -
Nikola Vučević * 33 7-9 2-3 0-0 14 4 0 1 16 - -
Coby White * 32 4-11 1-5 3-4 6 3 0 0 12 - -
Patrick Williams * 22 5-13 4-9 0-0 2 1 0 0 14 - -
Julian Phillips 19 3-7 1-5 3-3 5 1 0 0 10 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 18 4-11 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Lonzo Ball 18 1-7 1-7 0-0 3 3 0 1 3 - -
Jalen Smith 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 - -
Matas Buzelis 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 37 10-22 4-11 7-9 10 4 2 0 31 - -
Jaylen Brown * 36 7-17 1-8 4-5 3 4 1 0 19 - -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 35 7-17 2-7 4-4 8 0 0 3 20 - -
Derrick White * 35 5-14 3-12 3-3 8 4 1 2 16 - -
Jrue Holiday * 29 3-8 0-4 0-0 1 4 1 1 6 - -
Payton Pritchard 30 5-12 4-10 0-0 6 3 1 0 14 - -
Al Horford 21 1-4 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 2 2 - -
Jaden Springer 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Walsh 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Luke Kornet 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Neemias Queta 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter