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2024-12-09

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 65.3% 34.7% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 35.3% 64.7% - βœ“
Margin 35.8% 64.2% +3.2 βœ“ (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% - βœ“
Efficiency 39.5% 60.5% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 39.8% 60.2% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 39.9% 60.1% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 37.6% 62.4% - βœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +9 (107-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deandre Ayton * 34 7-14 0-2 0-0 19 1 1 1 14 - -
Shaedon Sharpe * 33 7-15 2-6 3-4 6 3 0 0 19 - -
Jerami Grant * 31 1-12 1-7 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 - -
Toumani Camara * 30 3-6 1-4 1-1 6 0 1 0 8 - -
Anfernee Simons * 30 5-13 1-6 3-3 1 4 0 1 14 - -
Deni Avdija 23 4-7 2-3 3-4 4 2 0 0 13 - -
Scoot Henderson 21 3-6 1-3 6-6 2 0 1 0 13 - -
Dalano Banton 14 2-5 1-3 1-1 1 3 0 1 6 - -
Jabari Walker 11 1-2 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Bryce McGowens 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Rayan Rupert 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Kris Murray 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rui Hachimura * 38 9-13 3-5 2-2 5 2 4 1 23 - -
Anthony Davis * 32 10-21 1-4 9-9 11 1 2 5 30 - -
Max Christie * 26 1-6 1-4 1-2 4 2 1 0 4 - -
Gabe Vincent * 24 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 3 0 3 - -
Dalton Knecht * 21 3-9 0-3 0-0 8 1 1 0 6 - -
D'Angelo Russell 33 9-17 5-10 5-6 5 14 1 0 28 - -
Cam Reddish 25 2-3 1-2 1-2 0 4 2 0 6 - -
Christian Koloko 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 - -
Quincy Olivari 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Armel TraorΓ© 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Bronny James 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -
Maxwell Lewis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter