Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +5 (121-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 38 | 8-16 | 4-10 | 5-5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 37 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 34 | 8-18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 33 | 6-20 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Yves Missi * | 31 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Brandon Boston Jr. | 28 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Antonio Reeves | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Jemison III | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle * | 34 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 34 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 31 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 31 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 25 | 9-16 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 28 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 17 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 10 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter