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2024-12-09

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 49.6% 50.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 71.0% 29.0% - ✓
Margin 88.8% 11.2% -11.4 ✓ (16.6 off)
Pythagorean 69.6% 30.4% - ✓
Efficiency 87.5% 12.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 86.3% 13.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 86.3% 13.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 76.7% 23.3% - ✓

Actual: Washington Wizards -28 (112-140). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Wells * 29 0-3 0-0 4-4 2 2 0 0 4 - -
Brandon Clarke * 23 6-10 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 0 12 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. * 22 6-11 0-1 2-3 3 12 2 0 14 - -
Marcus Smart * 20 5-8 3-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 13 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 16 8-15 3-8 2-4 4 1 0 4 21 - -
Cam Spencer 25 4-8 2-4 4-4 4 5 1 0 14 - -
Jake LaRavia 23 3-7 1-3 2-3 3 3 2 0 9 - -
Jay Huff 23 6-14 3-11 2-2 3 1 0 0 17 - -
John Konchar 22 3-4 1-2 0-0 8 2 2 1 7 - -
Santi Aldama 19 7-11 3-5 2-3 7 5 1 3 19 - -
Colin Castleton 7 1-3 0-1 4-4 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Yuki Kawamura 5 1-2 1-2 1-2 0 0 1 0 4 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Champagnie * 34 6-12 2-4 0-0 8 0 5 0 14 - -
Carlton Carrington * 32 3-12 1-7 0-0 5 2 1 0 7 - -
Bilal Coulibaly * 28 6-13 1-4 4-5 5 4 1 1 17 - -
Jordan Poole * 28 2-6 1-4 4-4 1 2 0 0 9 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 23 8-17 0-1 4-4 14 2 0 1 20 - -
Jared Butler 26 6-14 1-6 1-1 5 7 0 0 14 - -
Marvin Bagley III 24 9-15 0-2 2-2 7 2 0 3 20 - -
Anthony Gill 22 0-4 0-1 2-2 4 1 1 0 2 - -
Johnny Davis 19 3-7 0-3 3-4 3 0 2 0 9 - -

* = starter