Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.1% | 31.9% | -4.2 | ✗ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat +9 (122-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland * | 32 | 9-19 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 14 | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 30 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - | |
| Dean Wade * | 29 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Georges Niang | 31 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 28 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 21 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 20 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - | |
| JT Thor | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Jaylon Tyson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Luke Travers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 36 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 35 | 10-19 | 5-9 | 9-9 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 28 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 27 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | |
| Terry Rozier | 27 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - | |
| Dru Smith | 25 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - | |
| Kevin Love | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter