Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.9% | 34.1% | -3.6 | ✓ (26.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -30 (111-141). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 35 | 12-17 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 35 | 17-29 | 3-6 | 11-13 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 48 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 32 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 30 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 21 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| PJ Hall | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trey Alexander | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 35 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels * | 33 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 29 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. * | 24 | 6-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter | 24 | 7-20 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Vít Krejčí | 20 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 20 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kobe Bufkin | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter