Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.9% | 61.1% | +2.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +10 (121-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 37 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 8-8 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 34 | 5-18 | 0-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 31 | 8-15 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 29 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 30 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - | |
| Oso Ighodaro | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | |
| Monté Morris | 18 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 34 | 9-12 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 24 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 30 | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 34 | 8-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 22 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 29 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 28 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - | |
| Dru Smith | 29 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 19 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - | |
| Terry Rozier | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Kevin Love | 13 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
* = starter