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2024-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 12.2% 87.8% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 25.8% 74.2% - βœ—
Margin 19.8% 80.2% +7.7 βœ— (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% - βœ—
Efficiency 25.5% 74.5% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 31.3% 68.7% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 31.3% 68.7% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 33.6% 66.4% - βœ—

Actual: Boston Celtics -6 (121-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 34 11-19 3-4 2-4 9 1 3 4 27 - -
Ja Morant * 34 11-20 4-6 6-7 9 9 2 0 32 - -
Desmond Bane * 32 5-12 2-5 2-2 2 4 3 0 14 - -
Brandon Clarke * 26 9-11 0-0 0-0 8 4 2 1 18 - -
Jaylen Wells * 18 3-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Jake LaRavia 23 2-5 1-2 0-0 4 0 2 1 5 - -
Marcus Smart 19 1-11 1-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 - -
Jay Huff 18 2-3 2-3 4-4 9 2 0 1 10 - -
Santi Aldama 16 2-5 1-2 4-4 6 1 0 0 9 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 16 1-2 0-1 0-2 2 2 0 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 37 6-21 1-10 4-5 13 9 0 0 17 - -
Derrick White * 37 3-9 2-7 2-2 6 3 3 2 10 - -
Jaylen Brown * 35 10-14 2-3 0-1 3 6 1 0 22 - -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 33 6-17 3-10 4-6 8 2 1 3 19 - -
Jrue Holiday * 30 8-26 4-17 3-4 4 3 0 1 23 - -
Payton Pritchard 29 7-12 6-11 2-4 6 2 1 0 22 - -
Neemias Queta 17 2-3 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 1 5 - -
Sam Hauser 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Luke Kornet 9 0-1 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter