Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | β |
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | +0.4 | β (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | β |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -7 (118-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 39 | 9-14 | 6-9 | 5-5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 38 | 9-20 | 6-13 | 6-6 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 25 | 8-16 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 24 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 37 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick * | 34 | 8-21 | 5-14 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 33 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 27 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 26 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 21 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 20 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 14 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jamison Battle | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter