Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.2% | 3.8% | -17.8 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.6% | 7.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -10 (109-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 34 | 10-19 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 34 | 10-18 | 1-3 | 10-12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 31 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 24 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Ajay Mitchell | 18 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 14 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 37 | 5-19 | 0-9 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 37 | 8-10 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 35 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 7-10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Yves Missi * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III | 33 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Brandon Boston Jr. | 21 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 17 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter