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2024-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 82.8% 17.2% -
Bradley-Terry 81.0% 19.0% -
Margin 91.6% 8.4% -13.1 (22.1 off)
Pythagorean 68.5% 31.5% -
Efficiency 85.7% 14.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.8% 14.2% -
Log Adjusted 85.8% 14.2% -
Points Off/Def 76.2% 23.8% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +9 (122-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Jokić * 38 22-38 3-5 9-13 16 8 1 0 56 - -
Christian Braun * 37 7-14 0-3 0-0 2 0 1 1 14 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 36 5-14 0-5 1-2 5 6 1 1 11 - -
Russell Westbrook * 32 3-6 0-2 1-4 10 12 4 1 7 - -
Peyton Watson * 25 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 1 4 - -
Julian Strawther 32 7-13 2-5 2-2 3 2 3 2 18 - -
Jalen Pickett 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 - -
Hunter Tyson 11 0-2 0-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 - -
DeAndre Jordan 9 0-1 0-0 1-4 3 2 0 0 1 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Poole * 40 12-26 9-20 6-7 5 8 0 0 39 - -
Bilal Coulibaly * 40 2-9 0-3 2-2 6 5 4 3 6 - -
Justin Champagnie * 36 9-13 2-4 3-5 8 1 2 2 23 - -
Carlton Carrington * 34 4-13 2-8 0-0 4 6 0 0 10 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 31 8-15 0-1 4-4 12 5 0 5 20 - -
Jared Butler 17 5-9 2-4 0-0 2 4 0 0 12 - -
Marvin Bagley III 15 0-1 0-0 0-2 2 1 1 1 0 - -
Johnny Davis 13 3-4 1-1 0-0 3 1 2 1 7 - -
Anthony Gill 10 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter