Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | +5.1 | ✗ (32.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -27 (113-140). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray * | 33 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk * | 33 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 32 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 32 | 9-17 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter | 23 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaac Jones | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Colby Jones | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Champagnie * | 34 | 8-16 | 6-12 | 8-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle * | 29 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 21 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 21 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 16 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sidy Cissoko | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter