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2024-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% - ✗
Margin 49.0% 51.0% +0.2 ✗ (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% - ✓
Efficiency 60.7% 39.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 61.8% 38.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 61.9% 38.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 54.0% 46.0% - ✓

Actual: Chicago Bulls -9 (123-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 38 9-17 5-9 0-0 4 8 2 0 23 - -
Pascal Siakam * 36 7-15 3-5 4-4 7 2 0 0 21 - -
Bennedict Mathurin * 34 7-15 1-1 4-5 6 1 0 1 19 - -
Myles Turner * 31 6-10 3-5 0-0 7 4 2 2 15 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 21 4-5 0-1 0-0 6 4 2 0 8 - -
Jarace Walker 23 3-6 1-3 0-0 5 4 1 0 7 - -
T.J. McConnell 22 8-14 1-1 0-1 2 5 2 0 17 - -
Obi Toppin 21 6-8 3-4 2-2 7 5 0 1 17 - -
Johnny Furphy 9 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 33 12-22 5-9 3-5 3 3 1 0 32 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 32 6-8 3-5 0-0 2 5 2 2 15 - -
Coby White * 31 7-19 4-12 1-1 4 9 1 0 19 - -
Nikola Vučević * 29 5-11 3-5 0-0 9 2 0 0 13 - -
Josh Giddey * 26 5-13 0-6 0-0 5 6 1 0 10 - -
Jalen Smith 18 3-6 0-3 4-4 7 0 0 1 10 - -
Lonzo Ball 17 3-5 3-4 0-0 2 4 1 1 9 - -
Matas Buzelis 17 2-7 2-3 2-2 2 3 0 2 8 - -
Dalen Terry 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Julian Phillips 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter