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2024-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 18.2% 81.8% -
Bradley-Terry 26.7% 73.3% -
Margin 14.4% 85.6% +9.8 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% -
Efficiency 20.2% 79.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.0% 75.0% -
Log Adjusted 25.0% 75.0% -
Points Off/Def 29.0% 71.0% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +6 (111-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 40 12-25 4-12 3-3 5 4 1 0 31 - -
Brook Lopez * 38 2-6 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 5 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 36 13-25 0-1 4-6 11 1 0 0 30 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. * 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Taurean Prince * 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 36 4-6 3-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 11 - -
Khris Middleton 23 2-10 1-3 6-6 3 5 2 1 11 - -
AJ Green 22 2-4 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Bobby Portis 20 4-15 0-4 1-2 18 3 0 0 9 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 37 1-10 0-8 4-4 6 7 3 0 6 - -
Jayson Tatum * 37 12-20 4-10 6-8 10 5 0 0 34 - -
Al Horford * 36 3-8 2-7 0-0 9 3 0 2 8 - -
Jaylen Brown * 34 10-21 3-9 2-2 3 3 0 1 25 - -
Jrue Holiday * 34 7-14 4-9 2-2 5 6 1 1 20 - -
Payton Pritchard 24 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 - -
Sam Hauser 24 6-10 4-8 0-0 3 1 1 1 16 - -
Neemias Queta 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter