Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.1% | 49.9% | -0.0 | ✗ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +6 (99-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 37 | 5-16 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 36 | 4-16 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 36 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 34 | 6-13 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 29 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 22 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| Steven Adams | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Reed Sheppard | 12 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski * | 36 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 33 | 8-15 | 3-4 | 4-7 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 22 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 32 | 13-22 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 21 | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 27 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 23 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 18 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Pat Spencer | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter