Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.1% | 9.9% | -12.2 | ✓ (24.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -37 (92-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 29 | 11-22 | 1-10 | 7-8 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 28 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 27 | 3-12 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe * | 20 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 22 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 20 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ajay Mitchell | 18 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 17 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 13 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Branden Carlson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Adam Flagler | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett * | 31 | 5-16 | 1-7 | 6-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 30 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick * | 23 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 23 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 23 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 22 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 16 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jamison Battle | 13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jamal Shead | 11 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter