Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.3% | 17.7% | -8.5 | ✓ (27.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -36 (101-137). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Dončić * | 32 | 7-17 | 3-10 | 4-5 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 24 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 24 | 10-16 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 21 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 24 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 23 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 18 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 5 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Poole * | 31 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bilal Coulibaly * | 29 | 0-10 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alexandre Sarr * | 27 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 25 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 24 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Justin Champagnie | 29 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Carlton Carrington | 28 | 6-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jared Butler | 18 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Johnny Davis | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter