Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.7% | 68.3% | +4.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +12 (126-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 41 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 39 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 38 | 13-26 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 37 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 15 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrett Allen * | 35 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 33 | 9-20 | 3-10 | 3-3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 32 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 3-6 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 32 | 11-24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 26 | 7-11 | 5-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 20 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter