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2024-12-02

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 45.1% 54.9% -
Bradley-Terry 51.8% 48.2% -
Margin 46.9% 53.1% +0.7 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% -
Efficiency 36.6% 63.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% -
Log Adjusted 41.9% 58.1% -
Points Off/Def 40.7% 59.3% -

Actual: LA Clippers +4 (126-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Jokić * 39 12-24 2-7 2-4 14 11 1 1 28 - -
Jamal Murray * 37 7-12 2-4 2-2 0 7 1 0 18 - -
Christian Braun * 35 5-7 0-0 1-3 7 2 1 0 11 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 31 8-11 1-1 1-4 7 1 0 0 18 - -
Peyton Watson * 28 6-9 1-2 0-0 5 2 1 1 13 - -
Russell Westbrook 24 3-11 1-5 2-4 3 8 2 1 9 - -
Aaron Gordon 23 4-7 1-2 1-1 1 4 1 0 10 - -
Julian Strawther 18 6-7 2-3 1-1 2 2 0 0 15 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 38 10-26 6-15 13-13 9 11 1 0 39 - -
Ivica Zubac * 35 2-9 0-0 2-5 8 5 0 0 6 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 24 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 4 - -
Norman Powell * 24 9-17 5-8 5-5 0 1 1 0 28 - -
Kris Dunn * 23 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 2 4 2 4 - -
Terance Mann 24 6-7 2-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 15 - -
Nicolas Batum 23 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 5 0 0 3 - -
Amir Coffey 18 5-11 3-7 0-0 5 1 0 0 13 - -
Jordan Miller 14 4-6 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 8 - -
Mo Bamba 12 2-2 1-1 1-2 5 0 1 2 6 - -

* = starter