Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.9% | 43.1% | -1.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -2 (125-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama * | 36 | 11-17 | 5-9 | 7-9 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 34 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 33 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle * | 32 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 31 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 29 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 23 | 8-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 36 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 7-10 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk * | 36 | 7-14 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 36 | 9-23 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 36 | 10-20 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Isaac Jones | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 17 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Colby Jones | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter