Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | β |
| Margin | 46.0% | 54.0% | +0.9 | β (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | β |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -6 (131-137). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 36 | 15-24 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 36 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes * | 35 | 9-13 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 27 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy * | 23 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 34 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 27 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 37 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Toumani Camara * | 36 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe * | 36 | 10-20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 31 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 23 | 9-11 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija | 28 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kris Murray | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Rayan Rupert | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter