Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.7% | 30.3% | -4.6 | ✗ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +3 (119-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 37 | 7-21 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 10-19 | 3-7 | 9-11 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace * | 35 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 30 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 26 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 27 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 15 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ajay Mitchell | 7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 40 | 6-15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 37 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 35 | 10-19 | 5-9 | 13-14 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 38 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 29 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 26 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 24 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Reed Sheppard | 9 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter