Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | β |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | β (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | β |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +4 (115-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 37 | 12-27 | 4-9 | 5-5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser * | 36 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 33 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kristaps PorziΕΔ£is * | 32 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 30 | 3-10 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 36 | 7-16 | 3-10 | 7-8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Drew Peterson | 24 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaden Springer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mobley * | 35 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 35 | 12-21 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 32 | 5-12 | 4-6 | 8-8 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 24 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 23 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 21 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 20 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 11 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaylon Tyson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter